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What is the Major Source of Business Cycles : Spillovers from Land Prices, Investment Shocks, or Anything Else?

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Title: What is the Major Source of Business Cycles : Spillovers from Land Prices, Investment Shocks, or Anything Else?
Authors: Shirota, Toyoichiro Browse this author
Keywords: Source of business cycles
Land price dynamics
Investment shock
Collateral constraint
Bayesian estimation
Issue Date: Mar-2018
Publisher: Faculty of Economics and Business, Hokkaido University
Journal Title: Discussion Paper, Series A
Volume: 323
Start Page: 1
End Page: 20
Abstract: Some recent studies argue that spillovers from land prices into the aggregate economy are the crucial drivers of business cycles. Other studies stress the importance of investment shocks at business cycle frequencies. This study evaluates these two strands of the literature in a single unified framework by estimating a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with a collateral constraint on investment financing. The results are twofold: (i) when these features are combined, neither shocks that drives most of land-price fluctuations nor investment shocks are the primary source of U.S. business cycles; and (ii) technology shocks play an important role in business cycles.
Type: bulletin (article)
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/68511
Appears in Collections:Discussion paper > Series A

Submitter: 代田 豊一郎

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