Dynamical downscaling of future sea level change in the western North Pacific using ROMS

Liu, Zhao-Jun; Minobe, Shoshiro; Sasaki, Yoshi N.; Terada, Mio

Dynamical downscaling of future sea level change in the western North Pacific using ROMS

Liu, Zhao-Jun; Minobe, Shoshiro; Sasaki, Yoshi N. et al.

Journal of Oceanography, 2016, 72(6), 905-922

Permalink : https://hdl.handle.net/2115/67768

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アクセス権	open access
URI	https://hdl.handle.net/2115/67768
タイトル	Dynamical downscaling of future sea level change in the western North Pacific using ROMS
著者	Liu, Zhao-Jun ; Minobe, Shoshiro ; Sasaki, Yoshi N. ; Terada, Mio
著者名 Liu, Zhao-Jun
e-Rad_Researcher 70219707 著者名 Minobe, Shoshiro
著者名 Sasaki, Yoshi N.
著者名 Terada, Mio
言語	英語
キーワード	Dynamical downscaling
	Regional sea level rise
	Western North Pacific
	ROMS
	CMIP5 climate models
	Global warming
発行日	2016-12
出版者	Springer
収録物名	Journal of Oceanography
巻(号)	72(6)
ページ	905-922
抄録	The future regional sea level (RSL) rise in the western North Pacific is investigated by dynamical downscaling with the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) with an eddy-permitting resolution based on three global climate models—MIROC-ESM, CSIRO-Mk3.6.0, and GFDL-CM3—under the highest greenhouse-gas emission scenario. The historical run is forced by the air-sea fluxes calculated from Coordinated Ocean Reference Experiment version 2 (COREv2) data. Three future runs—ROMSMIROC, ROMS-CSIRO, and ROMS-GFDL—are forced with an atmospheric field constructed by adding the difference between the climate model parameters for the twentyfirst and twentieth century to fields in the historical run. In all downscaling, the RSL rise along the eastern coast of Japan is generally half or less of the RSL rise maxima off the eastern coast. The projected regional (total) sea level rises along the Honshu coast during 2081–2100 relative to 1981–2000 are 19–25 (98–104), 6–15 (71–80), and 8–14 (80–86) cm in ROMS-MIROC, ROMS-CSIRO, and ROMS-GFDL, respectively. The discrepancies of the RSL rise along the Honshu coast between the climate models and downscaling are less than 10 cm. The RSL changes in the Kuroshio Extension (KE) region in all downscaling simulations are related to the changes of KE (northward shift or intensification) with climate change.
資源タイプ	学術雑誌論文
出版タイプ	Accepted Manuscript
権利情報	The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10872-016-0390-0
PISSN	0916-8370
EISSN	1573-868X
関連情報 (isVersionOf)	出版社版DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-016-0390-0