Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

Payne, Antony J; Nowicki, Sophie; Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay‐Davis, Xylar; Aschwanden, Andy; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J; Calov, Reinhard; Chambers, Christopher; Choi, Youngmin; Cullather, Richard; Cuzzone, Joshua; Dumas, Christophe; Edwards, Tamsin L; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K; Goelzer, Heiko; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R; Gregory, Jonathan M; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C; Kleiner, Thomas; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Le clec'h, Sebastien; Lee, Victoria; Leguy, Gunter; Lipscomb, William H; Little, Christopher M; Lowry, Daniel P; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Rückamp, Martin; Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne; Seroussi, Hélène; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Tarasov, Lev; Trusel, Luke D; Van Breedam, Jonas; Wal, Roderik; Broeke, Michiel; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas

Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

Payne, Antony J; Nowicki, Sophie; Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako et al.

Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, 48(16), e2020GL091741

Permalink : https://hdl.handle.net/2115/82506

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アクセス権	open access
URI	https://hdl.handle.net/2115/82506
タイトル	Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets
著者	Payne, Antony J ; Nowicki, Sophie ; Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako ; Agosta, Cécile ; Alexander, Patrick ; Albrecht, Torsten ; Asay‐Davis, Xylar ; Aschwanden, Andy ; Barthel, Alice ; Bracegirdle, Thomas J ; Calov, Reinhard ; Chambers, Christopher ; Choi, Youngmin ; Cullather, Richard ; Cuzzone, Joshua ; Dumas, Christophe ; Edwards, Tamsin L ; Felikson, Denis ; Fettweis, Xavier ; Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K ; Goelzer, Heiko ; Gladstone, Rupert ; Golledge, Nicholas R ; Gregory, Jonathan M ; Greve, Ralf ; Hattermann, Tore ; Hoffman, Matthew J ; Humbert, Angelika ; Huybrechts, Philippe ; Jourdain, Nicolas C ; Kleiner, Thomas ; Munneke, Peter Kuipers ; Larour, Eric ; Le clec'h, Sebastien ; Lee, Victoria ; Leguy, Gunter ; Lipscomb, William H ; Little, Christopher M ; Lowry, Daniel P ; Morlighem, Mathieu ; Nias, Isabel ; Pattyn, Frank ; Pelle, Tyler ; Price, Stephen F ; Quiquet, Aurélien ; Reese, Ronja ; Rückamp, Martin ; Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne ; Seroussi, Hélène ; Shepherd, Andrew ; Simon, Erika ; Slater, Donald ; Smith, Robin S ; Straneo, Fiammetta ; Sun, Sainan ; Tarasov, Lev ; Trusel, Luke D ; Van Breedam, Jonas ; Wal, Roderik ; Broeke, Michiel ; Winkelmann, Ricarda ; Zhao, Chen ; Zhang, Tong ; Zwinger, Thomas
著者名 Payne, Antony J
著者名 Nowicki, Sophie
著者名 Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako
著者名 Agosta, Cécile
著者名 Alexander, Patrick
著者名 Albrecht, Torsten
著者名 Asay‐Davis, Xylar
著者名 Aschwanden, Andy
著者名 Barthel, Alice
著者名 Bracegirdle, Thomas J
著者名 Calov, Reinhard
著者名 Chambers, Christopher
著者名 Choi, Youngmin
著者名 Cullather, Richard
著者名 Cuzzone, Joshua
著者名 Dumas, Christophe
著者名 Edwards, Tamsin L
著者名 Felikson, Denis
著者名 Fettweis, Xavier
著者名 Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K
著者名 Goelzer, Heiko
著者名 Gladstone, Rupert
著者名 Golledge, Nicholas R
著者名 Gregory, Jonathan M
e-Rad_Researcher 90374644 著者名 Greve, Ralf
著者名 Hattermann, Tore
著者名 Hoffman, Matthew J
著者名 Humbert, Angelika
著者名 Huybrechts, Philippe
著者名 Jourdain, Nicolas C
著者名 Kleiner, Thomas
著者名 Munneke, Peter Kuipers
著者名 Larour, Eric
著者名 Le clec'h, Sebastien
著者名 Lee, Victoria
著者名 Leguy, Gunter
著者名 Lipscomb, William H
著者名 Little, Christopher M
著者名 Lowry, Daniel P
著者名 Morlighem, Mathieu
著者名 Nias, Isabel
著者名 Pattyn, Frank
著者名 Pelle, Tyler
著者名 Price, Stephen F
著者名 Quiquet, Aurélien
著者名 Reese, Ronja
著者名 Rückamp, Martin
著者名 Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne
著者名 Seroussi, Hélène
著者名 Shepherd, Andrew
著者名 Simon, Erika
著者名 Slater, Donald
著者名 Smith, Robin S
著者名 Straneo, Fiammetta
著者名 Sun, Sainan
著者名 Tarasov, Lev
著者名 Trusel, Luke D
著者名 Van Breedam, Jonas
著者名 Wal, Roderik
著者名 Broeke, Michiel
著者名 Winkelmann, Ricarda
著者名 Zhao, Chen
著者名 Zhang, Tong
著者名 Zwinger, Thomas
言語	英語
発行日	2021-08-28
出版者	American Geophysical Union
収録物名	Geophysical Research Letters
巻(号)	48(16)
ページ	e2020GL091741
抄録	Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming.
資源タイプ	学術雑誌論文
出版タイプ	Version of Record
権利情報	Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
PISSN	0094-8276
関連情報 (isIdenticalTo)	出版社版DOI https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091741