open access

https://hdl.handle.net/2115/98520

The Employment Linkage Effect of Japanese Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries, and Food Exports : An Input-Output Analysis Approach

日本語

2023-04-30

The Agricultural Economics Society of Hokkaido

The Frontiers of Agricultural Economics

25(1-2)

53-66

14

The Japanese Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries has been promoting the export of agricultural, forestry, fishery, and food products, with the aim of increasing the export value of these products to 5 trillion yen by 2030. However, the export value of the aforementioned products is not expected to reach 1 trillion yen in 2020 due to the impact of COVID-19. This study aims to quantify the contribution of Japanese agriculture, forestry, fishery, and food export promotion to primary industry job creation. We obtain the export value of agriculture, forestry, fisheries, and food products from trade statistics using the global classification number of export and import products (HS code) and calculate the export value from 2012 to 2019. In addition, we recalculate the trade statistics to ensure consistency with the 187 sector classifications in the 2015 input-output table. We use input-output and employment linkage analyses to calculate the economic spillover and job creation effects of exports. Our results show that the economic spillover effect is generally high in the processed products sector, such as “marine food products,” “other food products,” and “animal food products,” with a large effect on “marine fishing” and “wholesale trade.” However, we find that the effect is relatively low in the arable farming category. Meanwhile, our results show that the employment creation effect is relatively high in the primary industries of “cereals” and “fruit.” We also observe some employment creation effect in “other food products,” “sea fishing,” and “retail trade.”

学術雑誌論文

Version of Record

2185-1220

AA12489661