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Transient simulation of the last glacial inception. Part I : glacial inception as a bifurcation in the climate system

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タイトル: Transient simulation of the last glacial inception. Part I : glacial inception as a bifurcation in the climate system
著者: Calov, Reinhard 著作を一覧する
Ganopolski, Andrey 著作を一覧する
Claussen, Martin 著作を一覧する
Petoukhov, Vladimir 著作を一覧する
Greve, Ralf 著作を一覧する
発行日: 2005年 5月
出版者: Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
誌名: Climate Dynamics
巻: 24
号: 6
開始ページ: 545
終了ページ: 561
出版社 DOI: 10.1007/s00382-005-0007-6
抄録: We study the mechanisms of glacial inception by using the Earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2, which encompasses dynamic modules of the atmosphere, ocean, biosphere and ice sheets. Ice-sheet dynamics are described by the three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. We have performed transient experiments starting at the Eemiam interglacial, at 126 ky BP (126,000 years before present). The model runs for 26 kyr with time-dependent orbital and CO2 forcings. The model simulates a rapid expansion of the area covered by inland ice in the Northern Hemisphere, predominantly over Northern America, starting at about 117 kyr BP. During the next 7 kyr, the ice volume grows gradually in the model at a rate which corresponds to a change in sea level of 10 m per millennium. We have shown that the simulated glacial inception represents a bifurcation transition in the climate system from an interglacial to a glacial state caused by the strong snow-albedo feedback. This transition occurs when summer insolation at high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere drops below a threshold value, which is only slightly lower than modern summer insolation. By performing long-term equilibrium runs, we find that for the present-day orbital parameters at least two different equilibrium states of the climate system exist—the glacial and the interglacial; however, for the low summer insolation corresponding to 115 kyr BP, we find only one, glacial, equilibrium state, while for the high summer insolation corresponding to 126 kyr BP only an interglacial state exists in the model.
Rights: The original publication is available at www.springerlink.com
Relation (URI): http://www.springerlink.com
資料タイプ: article (author version)
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/29692
出現コレクション:雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)

提供者: Greve Ralf

 

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