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Territorial acquisition, commitment, and recurrent war

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Title: Territorial acquisition, commitment, and recurrent war
Authors: Kohama, Shoko Browse this author
Issue Date: May-2019
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Journal Title: International relations of the Asia-pacific
Volume: 19
Issue: 2
Start Page: 269
End Page: 295
Publisher DOI: 10.1093/irap/lcy001
Abstract: This study investigates how territorial acquisition through war affects the durability of a successive ceasefire and determines what type of territorial acquisition is more detrimental to post-war peace. Despite the wealth of literature on recurrent war and on territory, the effect of territorial acquisition on war resumption has been understudied. This study shows that territorial acquisition creates expectations among adversaries for future power shifts, which results in a commitment problem that hinders peaceful revision of the existing ceasefire. Indeed, duration analysis of ceasefires following interstate wars since World War II shows that territorial change in war, especially acquisition of large and densely populated territories that have potential utility for greater power shifts, makes ceasefires more prone to failure. The analysis of Sino-Vietnamese ceasefires following militarized incidents over land and sea borders also illustrates the importance of territorial acquisition and the potential utility of the territory.
Type: article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/76305
Appears in Collections:公共政策学教育部・公共政策学連携研究部 (Graduate School of Public Policy / Faculty of Public Policy) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)

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