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Prediction of population behavior of Listeria monocytogenes in food using machine learning and a microbial growth and survival database

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Title: Prediction of population behavior of Listeria monocytogenes in food using machine learning and a microbial growth and survival database
Authors: Hiura, Satoko Browse this author
Koseki, Shige Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Koyama, Kento Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Issue Date: 19-May-2021
Publisher: Nature Research
Journal Title: Scientific reports
Volume: 11
Issue: 1
Start Page: 10613
Publisher DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-90164-z
Abstract: In predictive microbiology, statistical models are employed to predict bacterial population behavior in food using environmental factors such as temperature, pH, and water activity. As the amount and complexity of data increase, handling all data with high-dimensional variables becomes a difficult task. We propose a data mining approach to predict bacterial behavior using a database of microbial responses to food environments. Listeria monocytogenes, which is one of pathogens, population growth and inactivation data under 1,007 environmental conditions, including five food categories (beef, culture medium, pork, seafood, and vegetables) and temperatures ranging from 0 to 25 degrees C, were obtained from the ComBase database (www.combase.cc). We used eXtreme gradient boosting tree, a machine learning algorithm, to predict bacterial population behavior from eight explanatory variables: 'time', 'temperature', 'pH', 'water activity', 'initial cell counts', 'whether the viable count is initial cell number', and two types of categories regarding food. The root mean square error of the observed and predicted values was approximately 1.0 log CFU regardless of food category, and this suggests the possibility of predicting viable bacterial counts in various foods. The data mining approach examined here will enable the prediction of bacterial population behavior in food by identifying hidden patterns within a large amount of data.
Rights: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Type: article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/82280
Appears in Collections:農学院・農学研究院 (Graduate School of Agriculture / Faculty of Agriculture) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)

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