| Title: | Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets |
| Authors: | Payne, Antony J Browse this author |
| Nowicki, Sophie Browse this author |
| Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako Browse this author |
| Agosta, Cécile Browse this author |
| Alexander, Patrick Browse this author |
| Albrecht, Torsten Browse this author |
| Asay‐Davis, Xylar Browse this author |
| Aschwanden, Andy Browse this author |
| Barthel, Alice Browse this author |
| Bracegirdle, Thomas J Browse this author |
| Calov, Reinhard Browse this author |
| Chambers, Christopher Browse this author |
| Choi, Youngmin Browse this author |
| Cullather, Richard Browse this author |
| Cuzzone, Joshua Browse this author |
| Dumas, Christophe Browse this author |
| Edwards, Tamsin L Browse this author |
| Felikson, Denis Browse this author |
| Fettweis, Xavier Browse this author |
| Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K Browse this author |
| Goelzer, Heiko Browse this author |
| Gladstone, Rupert Browse this author |
| Golledge, Nicholas R Browse this author |
| Gregory, Jonathan M Browse this author |
| Greve, Ralf Browse this author →KAKEN DB |
| Hattermann, Tore Browse this author |
| Hoffman, Matthew J Browse this author |
| Humbert, Angelika Browse this author |
| Huybrechts, Philippe Browse this author |
| Jourdain, Nicolas C Browse this author |
| Kleiner, Thomas Browse this author |
| Munneke, Peter Kuipers Browse this author |
| Larour, Eric Browse this author |
| Le clec'h, Sebastien Browse this author |
| Lee, Victoria Browse this author |
| Leguy, Gunter Browse this author |
| Lipscomb, William H Browse this author |
| Little, Christopher M Browse this author |
| Lowry, Daniel P Browse this author |
| Morlighem, Mathieu Browse this author |
| Nias, Isabel Browse this author |
| Pattyn, Frank Browse this author |
| Pelle, Tyler Browse this author |
| Price, Stephen F Browse this author |
| Quiquet, Aurélien Browse this author |
| Reese, Ronja Browse this author |
| Rückamp, Martin Browse this author |
| Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne Browse this author |
| Seroussi, Hélène Browse this author |
| Shepherd, Andrew Browse this author |
| Simon, Erika Browse this author |
| Slater, Donald Browse this author |
| Smith, Robin S Browse this author |
| Straneo, Fiammetta Browse this author |
| Sun, Sainan Browse this author |
| Tarasov, Lev Browse this author |
| Trusel, Luke D Browse this author |
| Van Breedam, Jonas Browse this author |
| Wal, Roderik Browse this author |
| Broeke, Michiel Browse this author |
| Winkelmann, Ricarda Browse this author |
| Zhao, Chen Browse this author |
| Zhang, Tong Browse this author |
| Zwinger, Thomas Browse this author |
| Issue Date: | 28-Aug-2021 |
| Publisher: | American Geophysical Union |
| Journal Title: | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Volume: | 48 |
| Issue: | 16 |
| Start Page: | e2020GL091741 |
| Publisher DOI: | 10.1029/2020GL091741 |
| Abstract: | Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming. |
| Rights: | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| Type: | article |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2115/82506 |
| Appears in Collections: | 低温科学研究所 (Institute of Low Temperature Science) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)
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