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北海道大学農經論叢 = The Review of the Society of Agricultural Economics >
第75集 >

新型コロナウイルス禍の小麦需要:パン作りブームに着目して

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Title: 新型コロナウイルス禍の小麦需要:パン作りブームに着目して
Other Titles: The impact of COVID-19 crisis onwheat demand : A focus onthe bread baking boom
Authors: 松宮, 潤也1 Browse this author
齋藤, 陽子2 Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Authors(alt): Matsumiya, Junya1
Saito, Yoko2
Issue Date: 31-Mar-2022
Publisher: 北海道大学大学院農学研究院
Journal Title: 北海道大学農經論叢
Journal Title(alt): The Nokei Ronso : The Review of Agricultural Economics, Hokkaido University
Volume: 75
Start Page: 67
End Page: 76
Abstract: Under the COVID-19 pandemic, a boom in bread baking was triggered by the need to stay at home. This study investigates the impact of this crisis situation on standard flour and pre-mixed flour, employing a tobit model with a random effect, and using home-scanned data in Kanagawa prefecture. Consumers in sectors impacted by COVID-19, such as the tourism and restaurant industries, show increased demand for pre-mixed flour but less demand for standard flour. Households whose income may have declined or is expected to decline do not show demand for bread-baking, rather demanding pre-mixed flour as a substitute for eating-out or lunch dishes. The estimated results of demand function shows that standard flour and pre-mixed flour can be substituted for each other, but pre-mixed flour is more easily substituted by standard flour thanvise-versa. Inthe stay-home period, demand for pre-mixed flour is substituted with standard flour, especially by flour processed from domestically produced wheat. During the COVID-19 pandemic, price elasticity became more elastic for pre-mixed flour, while it became less elastic for standard flour. Price inelasticity for domestic wheat means that consumers have strong loyalty to domestic wheat, thus price change does not have an impact on their demand. On the other hand, pre-mixed flour using domestic wheat is shownto be easily substituted with foreignwheat products, because of the higher price elasticity. This result indicates the high premium of domestic wheat flour, though the quantity supplied has not expanded during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Type: bulletin (article)
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/84667
Appears in Collections:北海道大学農經論叢 = The Review of the Society of Agricultural Economics > 第75集

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