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Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma using age and liver stiffness on transient elastography after hepatitis C virus eradication

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Title: Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma using age and liver stiffness on transient elastography after hepatitis C virus eradication
Authors: Nakai, Masato Browse this author
Yamamoto, Yoshiya Browse this author
Baba, Masaru Browse this author
Suda, Goki Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Kubo, Akinori Browse this author
Tokuchi, Yoshimasa Browse this author
Kitagataya, Takashi Browse this author
Yamada, Ren Browse this author
Shigesawa, Taku Browse this author
Suzuki, Kazuharu Browse this author
Nakamura, Akihisa Browse this author
Sho, Takuya Browse this author
Morikawa, Kenichi Browse this author
Ogawa, Koji Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Furuya, Ken Browse this author
Sakamoto, Naoya Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Issue Date: 27-Jan-2022
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
Journal Title: Scientific reports
Volume: 12
Issue: 1
Start Page: 1449
Publisher DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-05492-5
Abstract: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a useful tool for assessing advanced liver fibrosis, an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatitis C (HCV) eradication. This study aimed to clarify the non-invasive factors associated with HCC following sustained virological response (SVR) and to identify the low-risk group. 567 patients without history of HCC who achieved SVR at 24 weeks (SVR24) after IFN-free treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The cumulative incidence of HCC and the risk factors were examined using pre-treatment and SVR24 data. The median observation period was 50.2 months. Thirty cases of HCC were observed, and the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 5.9%. In multivariate analysis, significant pre-treatment factors were age >= 71 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.402) and LSM >= 9.2 kPa (HR: 6.328); SVR24 factors were age >= 71 years (HR: 2.689) and LSM >= 8.4 kPa (HR: 6.642). In cases with age < 71 years and LSM < 8.4 kPa at the time of SVR24, the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was as low as 1.1%. Both pre-treatment LSM (>= 9.2 kPa) and SVR24 LSM (>= 8.4 kPa) and age (>= 71 years) are useful in predicting the risk of HCC after SVR with IFN-free treatment. Identification of low-risk individuals may improve the efficiency of follow-up.
Type: article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/85503
Appears in Collections:医学院・医学研究院 (Graduate School of Medicine / Faculty of Medicine) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)

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