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Targeted sampling reduces the uncertainty in force of infection estimates from serological surveillance

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Title: Targeted sampling reduces the uncertainty in force of infection estimates from serological surveillance
Authors: Kim, Kiyeon Browse this author
Ito, Kimihito Browse this author →KAKEN DB
Keywords: serological surveillance
wildlife
catalytic model
force of infection
confidence intervals
targeted sampling
Issue Date: 28-Jul-2022
Publisher: Frontiers Media
Journal Title: Frontiers in veterinary science
Volume: 9
Start Page: 754255
Publisher DOI: 10.3389/fvets.2022.754255
Abstract: Age bins are frequently used in serological studies of infectious diseases in wildlife to deal with uncertainty in the age of sampled animals. This study analyzed how age binning and targeted sampling in serological surveillance affect the width of the 95% confidence interval (CI) of the estimated force of infection (FOI) of infectious diseases. We indicate that the optimal target population with the narrowest 95% CI differs depending on the expected FOI using computer simulations and mathematical models. In addition, our findings show that we can substantially reduce the number of animals required to infer transmission risk by tailoring targeted, age-based sampling to specific epidemiological situations.
Type: article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/86722
Appears in Collections:人獣共通感染症国際共同研究所 (International Institute for Zoonosis Control) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)

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