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Dynamical downscaling of future sea level change in the western North Pacific using ROMS
| Title: | Dynamical downscaling of future sea level change in the western North Pacific using ROMS |
| Authors: | Liu, Zhao-Jun Browse this author | | Minobe, Shoshiro Browse this author →KAKEN DB | | Sasaki, Yoshi N. Browse this author | | Terada, Mio Browse this author |
| Keywords: | Dynamical downscaling | | Regional sea level rise | | Western North Pacific | | ROMS | | CMIP5 climate models | | Global warming |
| Issue Date: | Dec-2016 |
| Publisher: | Springer |
| Journal Title: | Journal of Oceanography |
| Volume: | 72 |
| Issue: | 6 |
| Start Page: | 905 |
| End Page: | 922 |
| Publisher DOI: | 10.1007/s10872-016-0390-0 |
| Abstract: | The future regional sea level (RSL) rise in the western North Pacific is investigated by dynamical downscaling with the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) with an eddy-permitting resolution based on three global climate models—MIROC-ESM, CSIRO-Mk3.6.0, and GFDL-CM3—under the highest greenhouse-gas emission scenario. The historical run is forced by the air-sea fluxes calculated from Coordinated Ocean Reference Experiment version 2 (COREv2) data. Three future runs—ROMSMIROC, ROMS-CSIRO, and ROMS-GFDL—are forced with an atmospheric field constructed by adding the difference between the climate model parameters for the twentyfirst and twentieth century to fields in the historical run. In all downscaling, the RSL rise along the eastern coast of Japan is generally half or less of the RSL rise maxima off the eastern coast. The projected regional (total) sea level rises along the Honshu coast during 2081–2100 relative to 1981–2000 are 19–25 (98–104), 6–15 (71–80), and 8–14 (80–86) cm in ROMS-MIROC, ROMS-CSIRO, and ROMS-GFDL, respectively. The discrepancies of the RSL rise along the Honshu coast between the climate models and downscaling are less than 10 cm. The RSL changes in the Kuroshio Extension (KE) region in all downscaling simulations are related to the changes of KE (northward shift or intensification) with climate change. |
| Rights: | The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10872-016-0390-0 |
| Type: | article (author version) |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2115/67768 |
| Appears in Collections: | 理学院・理学研究院 (Graduate School of Science / Faculty of Science) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)
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Submitter: 見延 庄士郎
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