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Cross-validation strategies in QSPR modelling of chemical reactions

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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:http://hdl.handle.net/2115/84176

Title: Cross-validation strategies in QSPR modelling of chemical reactions
Authors: Rakhimbekova, Assima Browse this author
Akhmetshin, Tagir N. Browse this author
Minibaeva, Guzel I. Browse this author
Nugmanov, Ramil I. Browse this author
Gimadiev, Timur R. Browse this author
Madzhidov, Timur I. Browse this author
Baskin, Igor I. Browse this author
Varnek, Alexandre Browse this author
Keywords: Validation
QSPR
chemical reactions
rate constant prediction
reaction rate
structure-reactivity modelling
Issue Date: 19-Feb-2021
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Journal Title: SAR and QSAR in environmental research
Volume: 32
Issue: 3
Start Page: 207
End Page: 219
Publisher DOI: 10.1080/1062936X.2021.1883107
Abstract: In this article, we consider cross-validation of the quantitative structure-property relationship models for reactions and show that the conventional k-fold cross-validation (CV) procedure gives an `optimistically' biased assessment of prediction performance. To address this issue, we suggest two strategies of model cross-validation, `transformation-out' CV, and `solvent-out' CV. Unlike the conventional k-fold cross-validation approach that does not consider the nature of objects, the proposed procedures provide an unbiased estimation of the predictive performance of the models for novel types of structural transformations in chemical reactions and reactions going under new conditions. Both the suggested strategies have been applied to predict the rate constants of bimolecular elimination and nucleophilic substitution reactions, and Diels-Alder cycloaddition. All suggested cross-validation methodologies and tutorial are implemented in the open-source software package CIMtools (https://github.com/cimm-kzn/CIMtools).
Rights: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in SAR and QSAR in Environmental Research on 19 Feb 2021, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/1062936X.2021.1883107
Type: article (author version)
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2115/84176
Appears in Collections:化学反応創成研究拠点:ICReDD (Institute for Chemical Reaction Design and Discovery : ICReDD) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)

Submitter: Alexandre Varnek

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