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Degrees and dollars : Health costs associated with suboptimal ambient temperature exposure
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Title: | Degrees and dollars : Health costs associated with suboptimal ambient temperature exposure |
Authors: | Liu, Yang Browse this author | Saha, Shubhayu Browse this author | Hoppe, Brendalynn O. Browse this author | Convertino, Matteo Browse this author |
Keywords: | Climate health | Climate change | Extreme temperature | Extreme heat | Ambient exposure | Urban health |
Issue Date: | 15-Aug-2019 |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Journal Title: | Science of the total environment |
Volume: | 678 |
Start Page: | 702 |
End Page: | 711 |
Publisher DOI: | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.398 |
PMID: | 31078861 |
Abstract: | Suboptimal ambient temperature exposure significantly affects public health. Previous studies have primarily focused on risk assessment, with few examining the health outcomes from an economic perspective. To inform environmental health policies, we estimated the economic costs of health outcomes associated with suboptimal temperature in the Minneapolis/St. Paul Twin Cities Metropolitan Area. We used a distributed lag nonlinear model to estimate attributable fractions/cases for mortality, emergency department visits, and emergency hospitalizations at various suboptimal temperature levels. The analyses were stratified by age group (i.e., youth (0-19 years), adult (20-64 years), and senior (65+ years)). We considered both direct medical costs and loss of productivity during economic cost assessment. Results show that youth have a large number of temperature-related emergency department visits, while seniors have large numbers of temperature-related mortality and emergency hospitalizations. Exposures to extremely low and high temperatures lead to $2.70 billion [95% empirical confidence interval (eCI): $1.91 billion, $3.48 billion] (costs are all based on 2016 USD value) economic costs annually. Moderately and extremely low and high temperature leads to $9.40 billion [eCI: $6.05 billion. $12.57 billion] economic costs. The majority of the economic costs are consistently attributed to cold (>75%), rather than heat exposures and to mortality (>95%), rather than morbidity. Our findings support prioritizing temperature-related health interventions designed to minimize the economic costs by targeting seniors and to reduce attributable cases by targeting youth. |
Rights: | © 2019. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
Type: | article (author version) |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2115/82451 |
Appears in Collections: | 国際連携研究教育局 : GI-CoRE (Global Institution for Collaborative Research and Education : GI-CoRE) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc) 情報科学院・情報科学研究院 (Graduate School of Information Science and Technology / Faculty of Information Science and Technology) > 雑誌発表論文等 (Peer-reviewed Journal Articles, etc)
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Submitter: Matteo Convertino
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